Value bet: Puerto Cabello to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPuerto Cabello to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chancePuerto Cabello or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.43
Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC preview and prediction
The match
Puerto Cabello host Caracas FC in the Primera División on Thursday 6 August, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Complejo Deportivo Socialista. Puerto Cabello are 3rd with 6 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Caracas FC sit 2nd on 6 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Puerto Cabello's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Metropolitanos FC 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Caracas FC's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Estudiantes de Merida FC 2–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Puerto Cabello and 0.7 for Caracas FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Puerto Cabello 64%, draw 23%, Caracas FC 13%.
Safer route: Puerto Cabello or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Puerto Cabello to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Puerto Cabello 1–0 Caracas FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puerto Cabello64%fair 1.56 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Caracas FC13%fair 7.65 · @3.95
2.43Expected goals
1.77Puerto Cabello xG
0.66Caracas FC xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Puerto Cabello 1.8 – 0.7 Caracas FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puerto Cabello to win✓
64%
1.56
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Puerto Cabello or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Puerto Cabello ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puerto Cabello / FT Puerto Cabello✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.43
–
Form
Puerto Cabello – last 6
LLWLDL
2 Aug
@ Metropolitanos FC
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Carabobo FC
1–2
L
31 May
@ Deportivo La Guaira
2–0
W
27 May
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
21 May
vs Juventud
1–1
D
17 May
@ Portuguesa FC
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Caracas FC – last 6
DLLDLW
3 Aug
vs Estudiantes de Merida FC
2–2
D
31 Jul
vs Santa Fe
0–3
L
24 Jul
@ Santa Fe
0–2
L
24 Jun
vs Aragua FC
1–1
D
27 May
vs Botafogo
1–3
L
5 May
@ Independiente Petrolero
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puerto Cabello and Caracas FC.
What is the prediction for Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC?
On our numbers Puerto Cabello have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Caracas FC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC?
Our predicted score is Puerto Cabello 1–0 Caracas FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC?
Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Deportivo Socialista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
