Value bet: Zamora FC to win @ 2.65 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZamora FC to win ✗43% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.30
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Zamora FC preview and prediction
The match
Zamora FC travel to face Estudiantes de Merida FC in the Primera División on Thursday 6 August (21:00 WAT). Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th with 17 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Zamora FC sit 14th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Estudiantes de Merida FC's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Caracas FC 2–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Zamora FC's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Rayo Zuliano 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Zamora FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Estudiantes de Merida FC and 1.4 for Zamora FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estudiantes de Merida FC 35%, draw 22%, Zamora FC 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Zamora FC to win at 2.65 – 43% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–1 Zamora FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes de Merida FC35%fair 2.87 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Zamora FC43%fair 2.30 · @2.65
2.54Expected goals
1.18Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
1.36Zamora FC xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.2 – 1.4 Zamora FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zamora FC to win✗
43%
2.30
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zamora FC / FT Zamora FC✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.30
–
Form
Estudiantes de Merida FC – last 6
DLLLLW
3 Aug
@ Caracas FC
2–2
D
31 May
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
0–1
L
17 May
vs Carabobo FC
0–2
L
14 May
@ Carabobo FC
0–1
L
9 May
@ Metropolitanos FC
0–2
L
18 Mar
vs Carabobo FC
3–2
W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zamora FC – last 6
WWDDLL
2 Aug
vs Rayo Zuliano
2–1
W
24 Jun
vs Atletico el Vigia FC
6–1
W
20 Apr
vs Caracas FC
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Metropolitanos FC
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs Portuguesa FC
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes de Merida FC and Zamora FC.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Zamora FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Zamora FC?
On our numbers Estudiantes de Merida FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zamora FC 43%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Zamora FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Zamora FC?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–1 Zamora FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Zamora FC?
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Zamora FC (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
