Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio ArechiSalernitana vs Potenza prediction & analysis
Salernitana or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Salernitana to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Salernitana 1.8 – 0.9 Potenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Salernitana hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 20% for Potenza.
Salernitana have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Potenza have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. Potenza come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.8 for Salernitana, 0.9 for Potenza). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (11%).
Our pick is Salernitana or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.25. For a bigger price, Salernitana to win at 1.91 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Salernitana to win ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Salernitana or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Half-time result | Salernitana ahead at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Salernitana / FT Salernitana ✓ | 36% | 2.80 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.20 | – |
Form
Salernitana – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Cavese | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Foggia | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | vs Sorrento | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Scafatese | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Sambiase | 2–1 | W |
| 27 May | @ Union Brescia | 0–2 | L |
Potenza – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs SS Monopoli | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs SS Monopoli | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Cosenza | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Casarano | 4–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Ascoli | 1–3 | L |
| 20 May | @ Ascoli | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Salernitana and Potenza.
Serie C Girone C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Potenza | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bari | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Catania | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Scafatese | 13 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Audace Cerignola | 13 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  SS Monopoli | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Inter U23 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 |  Casertana | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Sorrento | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  AZ Picerno | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Cavese | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Team Altamura | 13 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 |  Giugliano | 13 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 |  Salernitana | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Barletta | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Foggia | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Casarano | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Savoia | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 19 |  Cosenza | 13 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 |  Crotone | 13 | -9 | 1 |
More Serie C Girone C predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Salernitana vs Potenza?
Our pick is Salernitana or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Salernitana vs Potenza?
On our numbers Salernitana have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Potenza 20%.
How many goals will there be in Salernitana vs Potenza?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Salernitana vs Potenza?
Salernitana vs Potenza (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Arechi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.