Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio Domenico MonterisiAudace Cerignola vs Giugliano prediction & analysis
Audace Cerignola or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Audace Cerignola 2.6 – 1.5 Giugliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Audace Cerignola hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 19% for Giugliano.
Audace Cerignola have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Giugliano have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 4.2 goals (2.6 for Audace Cerignola, 1.5 for Giugliano). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (8%), 3–1 (7%), 2–2 (6%).
In their last 1 meeting, Audace Cerignola have won 1, Giugliano have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Audace Cerignola or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.23. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.80 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Audace Cerignola to win ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Audace Cerignola or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Half-time result | Audace Cerignola ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Audace Cerignola / FT Audace Cerignola ✓ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.16 | – |
Form
Audace Cerignola – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ Foggia | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Cavese | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Cosenza | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs SS Monopoli | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Apr | vs Latina | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | @ Crotone | 1–3 | L |
Giugliano – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Sorrento | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Casarano | 3–4 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Scafatese | 3–3 | D |
| 16 Aug | vs Sorrento | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Aug | @ Catanzaro | 0–3 | L |
| 6 Apr | vs Crotone | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 22 Mar 2026 | Audace Cerignola v Giugliano | 1–0 |
Serie C Girone C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Potenza | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bari | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Catania | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Scafatese | 13 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Audace Cerignola | 13 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  SS Monopoli | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Inter U23 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 |  Casertana | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Sorrento | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  AZ Picerno | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Cavese | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Team Altamura | 13 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 |  Giugliano | 13 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 |  Salernitana | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Barletta | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Foggia | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Casarano | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Savoia | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 19 |  Cosenza | 13 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 |  Crotone | 13 | -9 | 1 |
More Serie C Girone C predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Audace Cerignola vs Giugliano?
Our pick is Audace Cerignola or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Audace Cerignola vs Giugliano?
On our numbers Audace Cerignola have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Giugliano 19%.
How many goals will there be in Audace Cerignola vs Giugliano?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Audace Cerignola vs Giugliano?
Audace Cerignola vs Giugliano (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Domenico Monterisi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.