Serie C Girone C · ItalyTeam Altamura vs Bari prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Team Altamura 0.9 – 1.2 Bari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bari shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 31% for Team Altamura.
Team Altamura have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Bari have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (0.9 for Team Altamura, 1.2 for Bari). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.26.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bari to win ✓ | 47% | 2.13 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 2.00 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bari / FT Bari ✓ | 25% | 3.98 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 7.07 | – |
Form
Team Altamura – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Savoia | 0–2 | L |
| 2 Sep | vs Sambenedettese | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Inter U23 | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | vs SS Monopoli | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Foggia | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Apr | @ Sorrento | 0–2 | L |
Bari – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Casarano | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs AZ Picerno | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | @ Barletta | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Cavese | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Casarano | 1–0 | W |
| 22 May | @ Sudtirol | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Team Altamura and Bari.
Serie C Girone C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Potenza | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bari | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Catania | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Scafatese | 13 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Audace Cerignola | 13 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  SS Monopoli | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Inter U23 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 |  Casertana | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Sorrento | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  AZ Picerno | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Cavese | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Team Altamura | 13 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 |  Giugliano | 13 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 |  Salernitana | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Barletta | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Foggia | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Casarano | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Savoia | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 19 |  Cosenza | 13 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 |  Crotone | 13 | -9 | 1 |
More Serie C Girone C predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Team Altamura vs Bari?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Team Altamura vs Bari?
On our numbers Team Altamura have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bari 47%.
How many goals will there be in Team Altamura vs Bari?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Team Altamura vs Bari?
Team Altamura vs Bari (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.