Reggiana host Spezia in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT). Reggiana are 6th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Spezia sit 1st on 35 points (top of the table). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Reggiana's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Perugia 0–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Spezia's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Pescara 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spezia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Reggiana and 1.3 for Spezia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Reggiana 38%, draw 23%, Spezia 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Reggiana 1–1 Spezia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Reggiana38%fair 2.66 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.25
Spezia39%fair 2.53 · @2.45
2.57Expected goals
1.27Reggiana xG
1.30Spezia xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Reggiana 1.3 – 1.3 Spezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spezia to win✓
39%
2.53
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spezia / FT Spezia✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
10.01
–
Form
Reggiana – last 6
LWWDWW
27 Sep
@ Perugia
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Latina
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Vis Pesaro
4–1
W
12 Sep
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Vado
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Gubbio
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Spezia – last 6
WWWWWW
27 Sep
@ Pescara
2–1
W
21 Sep
vs Vis Pesaro
3–1
W
16 Sep
@ Perugia
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Livorno
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Sambenedettese
2–1
W
2 Sep
vs Vado
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Reggiana and Spezia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Reggiana vs Spezia?
On our numbers Reggiana have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spezia 39%.
How many goals will there be in Reggiana vs Spezia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Reggiana vs Spezia?
Our predicted score is Reggiana 1–1 Spezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Reggiana vs Spezia?
Reggiana vs Spezia (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
