Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrosseto to win ✗58% · @1.67
Double chanceGrosseto or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.43
Grosseto vs Sambenedettese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone B sees Grosseto take on Sambenedettese on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadio Carlo Zecchini. Grosseto are 3rd with 23 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Sambenedettese sit 17th on 10 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Grosseto's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Pineto 4–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sambenedettese's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Campobasso FC 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Grosseto arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Grosseto and 0.9 for Sambenedettese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Grosseto or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Grosseto 1–0 Sambenedettese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grosseto58%fair 1.73 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.60
Sambenedettese20%fair 5.06 · @3.90
2.71Expected goals
1.78Grosseto xG
0.93Sambenedettese xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Grosseto 1.8 – 0.9 Sambenedettese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grosseto to win✗
58%
1.73
1.67
Double chance
Grosseto or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Grosseto ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grosseto / FT Grosseto✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.43
–
Form
Grosseto – last 6
WWDDLW
26 Sep
@ Pineto
4–0
W
20 Sep
vs Perugia
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Campobasso FC
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Pianese
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Latina
1–4
L
6 Sep
vs Torres
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sambenedettese – last 6
LDLLLD
26 Sep
vs Campobasso FC
1–2
L
21 Sep
@ Pianese
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Atalanta II
2–3
L
12 Sep
@ Pineto
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Spezia
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Team Altamura
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grosseto and Sambenedettese.
What is the prediction for Grosseto vs Sambenedettese?
Our pick is Grosseto or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Grosseto vs Sambenedettese?
On our numbers Grosseto have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sambenedettese 20%.
How many goals will there be in Grosseto vs Sambenedettese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grosseto vs Sambenedettese?
Our predicted score is Grosseto 1–0 Sambenedettese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Grosseto vs Sambenedettese?
Grosseto vs Sambenedettese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Zecchini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
