Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLivorno to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chanceLivorno or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.50
Livorno vs Pianese preview and prediction
The match
Livorno host Pianese in the Serie C Girone B on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadio Armando Picchi. Livorno are 8th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Pianese sit 16th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Livorno's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pianese's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Sambenedettese 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Livorno arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Livorno 1–2 Pianese.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Livorno and 0.6 for Pianese. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Livorno 62%, draw 21%, Pianese 16%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Livorno 1–0 Pianese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Livorno62%fair 1.60 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.40
Pianese16%fair 6.06 · @4.33
2.13Expected goals
1.54Livorno xG
0.60Pianese xG
48%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Livorno 1.5 – 0.6 Pianese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Livorno vs Pianese?
On our numbers Livorno have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pianese 16%.
How many goals will there be in Livorno vs Pianese?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livorno vs Pianese?
Our predicted score is Livorno 1–0 Pianese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Livorno vs Pianese?
Livorno vs Pianese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Armando Picchi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
