Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.80
Spezia vs Vis Pesaro preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone B sees Spezia take on Vis Pesaro on Monday 21 September, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadio Alberto Picco. Spezia are 1st with 35 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Vis Pesaro sit 20th on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Spezia's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Perugia 3–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vis Pesaro's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Reggiana 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Spezia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.2 for Spezia and 0.6 for Vis Pesaro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spezia 73%, draw 20%, Vis Pesaro 7%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Spezia to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Spezia 2–0 Vis Pesaro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spezia73%fair 1.38 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.80
Vis Pesaro7%fair 13.91 · @12.00
2.80Expected goals
2.20Spezia xG
0.60Vis Pesaro xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–16%
From our goals model: Spezia 2.2 – 0.6 Vis Pesaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spezia to win✓
73%
1.38
1.22
Double chance
Spezia or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Spezia ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spezia / FT Spezia✓
49%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
15%
6.80
–
Form
Spezia – last 6
WWWWWD
16 Sep
@ Perugia
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Livorno
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Sambenedettese
2–1
W
2 Sep
vs Vado
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Campobasso FC
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Grosseto
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vis Pesaro – last 6
LLLLDL
16 Sep
vs Reggiana
1–4
L
12 Sep
@ Forli
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Ostia Mare
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Gubbio
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs Perugia
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Pescara
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spezia and Vis Pesaro.
Our pick is Spezia to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spezia vs Vis Pesaro?
On our numbers Spezia have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vis Pesaro 7%.
How many goals will there be in Spezia vs Vis Pesaro?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spezia vs Vis Pesaro?
Our predicted score is Spezia 2–0 Vis Pesaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Spezia vs Vis Pesaro?
Spezia vs Vis Pesaro (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Picco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
