ResultGuidonia Montecelio 1937 to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.67
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno preview and prediction
The match
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 host Livorno in the Serie C Girone B on Monday 21 September, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadio Citta dell Aria. Guidonia Montecelio 1937 are 7th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Livorno sit 8th on 20 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Guidonia Montecelio 1937's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Latina 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Livorno's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Vado 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 and 1.0 for Livorno. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1–1 Livorno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guidonia Montecelio 193741%fair 2.45 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.75
Livorno33%fair 3.02 · @3.00
2.20Expected goals
1.18Guidonia Montecelio 1937 xG
1.02Livorno xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1.2 – 1.0 Livorno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to win✗
41%
2.45
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guidonia Montecelio 1937 / FT Guidonia Montecelio 1937✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.67
–
Form
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 – last 6
DDWLWW
16 Sep
@ Latina
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Reggiana
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Pianese
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Atalanta II
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Gubbio
3–0
W
14 Aug
@ Grosseto
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Livorno – last 6
WLWDDW
16 Sep
vs Vado
3–2
W
12 Sep
@ Spezia
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Atalanta II
1–0
W
3 Sep
@ Novara
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Pineto
0–0
D
24 Aug
vs Torres
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guidonia Montecelio 1937 and Livorno.
What is the prediction for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno?
On our numbers Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Livorno 33%.
How many goals will there be in Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno?
Our predicted score is Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1–1 Livorno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno?
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Citta dell Aria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
