Serie C Girone A · Italy

Treviso

LWWLD
2–0
FT

Novara

WLDLW

Treviso vs Novara prediction & analysis

78%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultTreviso to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.17

Win chances

Treviso60%fair 1.66 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.50
Novara21%fair 4.84 · @4.50
2.25Expected goals
1.53Treviso xG
0.71Novara xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Treviso 1.5 – 0.7 Novara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Treviso are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 21% for Novara.

Treviso have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.5 per game. Novara have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.

We expect around 2.2 goals (1.5 for Treviso, 0.7 for Novara). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (12%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.28. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.00 is our value angle (54% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTreviso to win ✓60%1.661.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.862.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.461.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Treviso / FT Treviso ✓34%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.17–

Form

Treviso – last 6

LWWLDW
1 Nov@ Cittadella0–1L
24 Octvs Dolomiti Bellunesi2–1W
17 Oct@ Folgore Caratese2–0W
11 Octvs Ospitaletto0–1L
4 Octvs Giana Erminio0–0D
27 Sep@ Renate1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Novara – last 6

WLDLWL
2 Novvs Desenzano Calvina1–0W
25 Oct@ Arzignano Valchiampo0–2L
18 Oct@ Albinoleffe2–2D
10 Octvs Cittadella0–2L
4 Oct@ Dolomiti Bellunesi2–1W
26 Sepvs Ospitaletto0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Treviso and Novara.

More Serie C Girone A predictions

FT Giana Erminio0 Cittadella0 122265 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓ FT Lecco4 Juventus U230 572121 1XLecco or draw 79%@1.25 ✓ FT Desenzano Calvina0 Ospitaletto1 352243 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓ FT Folgore Caratese0 Athletic Carpi0 372439 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.36 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Treviso vs Novara?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Treviso vs Novara?

On our numbers Treviso have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Novara 21%.

How many goals will there be in Treviso vs Novara?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

When is Treviso vs Novara?

Treviso vs Novara (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.