Serie C Girone A · Italy · Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola

Giana Erminio

LWWDD
0–0
FT

Cittadella

WWLWW

Giana Erminio vs Cittadella prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
2

Value bet: Cittadella to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultCittadella to win ✗65% · @1.73
Double chanceCittadella or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.41

Win chances

Giana Erminio12%fair 8.21 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Cittadella65%fair 1.53 · @1.73
2.46Expected goals
0.64Giana Erminio xG
1.82Cittadella xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–39%

From our goals model: Giana Erminio 0.6 – 1.8 Cittadella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Cittadella travel as clear favourites – 65% to win, against 12% for Giana Erminio.

Giana Erminio have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Cittadella have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (0.6 for Giana Erminio, 1.8 for Cittadella). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (16%), 0–2 (14%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Cittadella to win at 1.73 is our value angle (65% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCittadella to win ✗65%1.531.73 ▲
Double chanceCittadella or draw ✓88%1.141.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.881.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.391.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.33
Half-time resultCittadella ahead at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cittadella / FT Cittadella ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.41–

Form

Giana Erminio – last 6

LWWDDD
31 Octvs Alcione1–3L
25 Oct@ Desenzano Calvina2–1W
19 Octvs Union Brescia2–1W
11 Oct@ Renate2–2D
4 Oct@ Treviso0–0D
26 Sepvs PRO Vercelli1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cittadella – last 6

WWLWWL
1 Novvs Treviso1–0W
28 Oct@ Union Brescia2–1W
24 Oct@ Union Brescia1–2L
19 Octvs Arzignano Valchiampo1–0W
10 Oct@ Novara2–0W
3 Octvs Albinoleffe1–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Giana Erminio and Cittadella.

More Serie C Girone A predictions

FT Lecco4 Juventus U230 572121 1XLecco or draw 79%@1.25 ✓ FT Desenzano Calvina0 Ospitaletto1 352243 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓ FT Folgore Caratese0 Athletic Carpi0 372439 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.36 ✗ FT Treviso2 Novara0 601921 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Giana Erminio vs Cittadella?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Giana Erminio vs Cittadella?

On our numbers Giana Erminio have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cittadella 65%.

How many goals will there be in Giana Erminio vs Cittadella?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

When is Giana Erminio vs Cittadella?

Giana Erminio vs Cittadella (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.