Serie C Girone A · Italy

Desenzano Calvina

LWLLW
0–1
FT

Ospitaletto

DLLWD

Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultOspitaletto to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.52

Win chances

Desenzano Calvina35%fair 2.86 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Ospitaletto43%fair 2.31 · @2.15
2.39Expected goals
1.11Desenzano Calvina xG
1.28Ospitaletto xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Desenzano Calvina 1.1 – 1.3 Ospitaletto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Ospitaletto shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 35% for Desenzano Calvina.

Desenzano Calvina have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Ospitaletto have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.1 for Desenzano Calvina, 1.3 for Ospitaletto). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.33.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOspitaletto to win ✓43%2.312.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.421.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ospitaletto / FT Ospitaletto ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12%8.52–

Form

Desenzano Calvina – last 6

LWLLWW
2 Nov@ Novara0–1L
28 Oct@ Dolomiti Bellunesi1–0W
25 Octvs Giana Erminio1–2L
18 Oct@ Alcione1–4L
10 Octvs Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0W
3 Oct@ Folgore Caratese2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ospitaletto – last 6

DLLWDW
31 Octvs Trento0–0D
25 Oct@ PRO Vercelli1–2L
18 Octvs Pergolettese2–3L
11 Oct@ Treviso1–0W
3 Octvs Renate1–1D
26 Sep@ Novara2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Desenzano Calvina and Ospitaletto.

More Serie C Girone A predictions

FT Giana Erminio0 Cittadella0 122265 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓ FT Lecco4 Juventus U230 572121 1XLecco or draw 79%@1.25 ✓ FT Folgore Caratese0 Athletic Carpi0 372439 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.36 ✗ FT Treviso2 Novara0 601921 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto?

On our numbers Desenzano Calvina have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ospitaletto 43%.

How many goals will there be in Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

When is Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto?

Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.