Serie C Girone A · Italy
Folgore Caratese
Athletic Carpi
Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Athletic Carpi to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Folgore Caratese 1.4 – 1.4 Athletic Carpi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Folgore Caratese and Athletic Carpi on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Folgore Caratese have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.0 per game. Athletic Carpi have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.4 for Folgore Caratese, 1.4 for Athletic Carpi). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.38. For a bigger price, Athletic Carpi to win at 3.00 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Athletic Carpi to win ✗ | 39% | 2.54 | 3.00 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.94 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.41 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Athletic Carpi / FT Athletic Carpi ✗ | 23% | 4.44 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.31 | – |
Form
Folgore Caratese – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Union Brescia | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Lecco | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Treviso | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Trento | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Desenzano Calvina | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Lumezzane | 2–1 | W |
Athletic Carpi – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Renate | 0–5 | L |
| 28 Oct | vs Ravenna | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Alcione | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Lumezzane | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Pergolettese | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ PRO Vercelli | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Folgore Caratese and Athletic Carpi.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi?
On our numbers Folgore Caratese have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Athletic Carpi 39%.
How many goals will there be in Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi?
Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.