Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrento to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceTrento or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.21
Trento vs Folgore Caratese preview and prediction
The match
Trento host Folgore Caratese in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadio Briamasco. Trento are 3rd with 27 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Folgore Caratese sit 20th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Trento's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Alcione 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Folgore Caratese's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Desenzano Calvina 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Trento arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Trento and 0.7 for Folgore Caratese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Trento to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Trento 1–0 Folgore Caratese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trento62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.10
Folgore Caratese17%fair 5.73 · @4.50
2.31Expected goals
1.62Trento xG
0.69Folgore Caratese xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Trento 1.6 – 0.7 Folgore Caratese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trento to win✓
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Trento or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trento / FT Trento✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.21
–
Form
Trento – last 6
DDWDDW
4 Oct
@ Alcione
2–2
D
26 Sep
@ Pergolettese
0–0
D
21 Sep
vs PRO Vercelli
4–0
W
17 Sep
@ Giana Erminio
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Union Brescia
0–0
D
7 Sep
vs Lecco
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Folgore Caratese – last 6
LWDDLL
3 Oct
vs Desenzano Calvina
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Lumezzane
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Giana Erminio
1–1
D
17 Sep
@ Pergolettese
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Alcione
2–3
L
7 Sep
@ PRO Vercelli
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trento and Folgore Caratese.
What is the prediction for Trento vs Folgore Caratese?
Our pick is Trento to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Trento vs Folgore Caratese?
On our numbers Trento have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Folgore Caratese 17%.
How many goals will there be in Trento vs Folgore Caratese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trento vs Folgore Caratese?
Our predicted score is Trento 1–0 Folgore Caratese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Trento vs Folgore Caratese?
Trento vs Folgore Caratese (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Briamasco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
