Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi preview and prediction
The match
Pergolettese host Athletic Carpi in the Serie C Girone A on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Giuseppe Voltini. Pergolettese are 10th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Athletic Carpi sit 15th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Pergolettese's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Arzignano Valchiampo 2–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Athletic Carpi's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to PRO Vercelli 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Pergolettese and 0.9 for Athletic Carpi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Pergolettese 1–1 Athletic Carpi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pergolettese48%fair 2.09 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.80
Athletic Carpi28%fair 3.53 · @3.25
2.19Expected goals
1.29Pergolettese xG
0.90Athletic Carpi xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Pergolettese 1.3 – 0.9 Athletic Carpi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pergolettese to win✓
48%
2.09
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pergolettese / FT Pergolettese✓
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.93
–
Form
Pergolettese – last 6
DDDDWD
3 Oct
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Trento
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Lecco
0–0
D
17 Sep
vs Folgore Caratese
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Novara
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Juventus U23
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Athletic Carpi – last 6
LLDDLW
3 Oct
@ PRO Vercelli
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
0–3
L
20 Sep
@ Novara
2–2
D
17 Sep
vs Ospitaletto
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Cittadella
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Albinoleffe
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pergolettese and Athletic Carpi.
What is the prediction for Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi?
On our numbers Pergolettese have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Athletic Carpi 28%.
How many goals will there be in Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi?
Our predicted score is Pergolettese 1–1 Athletic Carpi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi?
Pergolettese vs Athletic Carpi (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Voltini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
