Value bet: Dolomiti Bellunesi to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDesenzano Calvina to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.80
Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi preview and prediction
The match
Desenzano Calvina host Dolomiti Bellunesi in the Serie C Girone A on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni. Desenzano Calvina are 13th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Dolomiti Bellunesi sit 19th on 10 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Desenzano Calvina's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Folgore Caratese 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Dolomiti Bellunesi's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Novara 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Desenzano Calvina and 0.8 for Dolomiti Bellunesi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely.
Value angle: Dolomiti Bellunesi to win at 3.25 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Desenzano Calvina 1–1 Dolomiti Bellunesi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Desenzano Calvina43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @2.90
Dolomiti Bellunesi33%fair 3.00 · @3.25
1.69Expected goals
0.93Desenzano Calvina xG
0.76Dolomiti Bellunesi xG
51%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Desenzano Calvina 0.9 – 0.8 Dolomiti Bellunesi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Desenzano Calvina to win✓
43%
2.31
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.80
–
Form
Desenzano Calvina – last 6
WDDLWL
3 Oct
@ Folgore Caratese
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Juventus U23
0–0
D
21 Sep
@ Treviso
0–0
D
17 Sep
vs Lecco
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Union Brescia
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dolomiti Bellunesi – last 6
LDLDDW
4 Oct
vs Novara
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Union Brescia
1–1
D
21 Sep
vs Lumezzane
1–2
L
17 Sep
@ Renate
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Albinoleffe
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Giana Erminio
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Desenzano Calvina and Dolomiti Bellunesi.
What is the prediction for Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
On our numbers Desenzano Calvina have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dolomiti Bellunesi 33%.
How many goals will there be in Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
Our predicted score is Desenzano Calvina 1–1 Dolomiti Bellunesi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
