Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Trento to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrento to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceTrento or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓33% · fair 3.06
Trento vs Lecco preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone A sees Trento take on Lecco on Monday 7 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Briamasco. Trento are 3rd with 27 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Lecco sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Trento's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Desenzano Calvina 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lecco's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Treviso 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Trento arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.9 for Trento and 0.1 for Lecco. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trento 63%, draw 25%, Lecco 12%.
Safer route: Trento or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (62%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Trento to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Trento or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Trento 0–0 Lecco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trento63%fair 1.60 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.88
Lecco12%fair 8.27 · @3.75
1.00Expected goals
0.89Trento xG
0.11Lecco xG
38%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
1–033%
2–015%
3–04%
0–14%
1–14%
From our goals model: Trento 0.9 – 0.1 Lecco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trento to win✓
63%
1.60
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Trento or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
33%
3.06
–
Form
Trento – last 6
LDWWLL
3 Sep
vs Desenzano Calvina
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ Desenzano Calvina
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Treviso
2–1
W
14 Aug
vs Ospitaletto
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Modena
0–1
L
19 Jul
@ Genoa
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lecco – last 6
LDDLLD
31 Aug
@ Treviso
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Desenzano Calvina
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Atalanta II
2–3
L
2 Aug
@ Hellas Verona
0–3
L
20 May
@ Catania
3–3
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trento and Lecco.
Our pick is Trento or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Trento vs Lecco?
On our numbers Trento have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lecco 12%.
How many goals will there be in Trento vs Lecco?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trento vs Lecco?
Our predicted score is Trento 0–0 Lecco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Trento vs Lecco?
Trento vs Lecco (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Briamasco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
