Value bet: Cittadella to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCittadella to win ✓49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 9.74
Renate vs Cittadella preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone A sees Renate take on Cittadella on Monday 31 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Mino Favini. Renate are 17th with 11 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Cittadella sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Renate's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Alcione 1–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Cittadella's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Pergolettese 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cittadella arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 February 2026, finished Cittadella 2–1 Renate.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Renate and 1.6 for Cittadella. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Cittadella to win at 2.25 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Renate 1–1 Cittadella. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Renate29%fair 3.40 · @2.85
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Cittadella49%fair 2.05 · @2.25
2.73Expected goals
1.15Renate xG
1.58Cittadella xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Renate 1.2 – 1.6 Cittadella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Renate vs Cittadella?
On our numbers Renate have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cittadella 49%.
How many goals will there be in Renate vs Cittadella?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renate vs Cittadella?
Our predicted score is Renate 1–1 Cittadella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Renate vs Cittadella?
Renate vs Cittadella (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Mino Favini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
