Value bet: Ospitaletto to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOspitaletto to win ✗38% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.26
Albinoleffe vs Ospitaletto preview and prediction
The match
Albinoleffe host Ospitaletto in the Serie C Girone A on Monday 31 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at AlbinoLeffe. Albinoleffe are 9th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Ospitaletto sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Albinoleffe's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Giana Erminio 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Ospitaletto's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Lumezzane 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Albinoleffe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Albinoleffe and 1.2 for Ospitaletto. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Ospitaletto to win at 3.25 – 38% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Albinoleffe 1–1 Ospitaletto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albinoleffe36%fair 2.75 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.95
Ospitaletto38%fair 2.62 · @3.25
2.44Expected goals
1.20Albinoleffe xG
1.24Ospitaletto xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Albinoleffe 1.2 – 1.2 Ospitaletto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ospitaletto to win✗
38%
2.62
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ospitaletto / FT Ospitaletto✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.26
–
Form
Albinoleffe – last 6
WLWLWW
22 Aug
@ Giana Erminio
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Scanzorosciate
3–0
W
2 Aug
vs Inter U23
1–2
L
29 Jul
@ Arezzo
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Triestina
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ospitaletto – last 6
WLDWLD
22 Aug
vs Lumezzane
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Trento
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Rovato Vertovese
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Padova
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ PRO Vercelli
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Virtus Verona
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albinoleffe and Ospitaletto.
What is the prediction for Albinoleffe vs Ospitaletto?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Albinoleffe vs Ospitaletto?
On our numbers Albinoleffe have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ospitaletto 38%.
How many goals will there be in Albinoleffe vs Ospitaletto?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albinoleffe vs Ospitaletto?
Our predicted score is Albinoleffe 1–1 Ospitaletto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Albinoleffe vs Ospitaletto?
Albinoleffe vs Ospitaletto (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at AlbinoLeffe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
