Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.10
HNK Rijeka vs Ilves preview and prediction
The match
HNK Rijeka host Ilves in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 6 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stadion HNK Rijeka Dean Šćulac.
Form guide
HNK Rijeka's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Rudes 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ilves's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to AC Oulu 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
HNK Rijeka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 2.0 for HNK Rijeka and 0.5 for Ilves. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: HNK Rijeka 72%, draw 21%, Ilves 8%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: HNK Rijeka 1–0 Ilves. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HNK Rijeka72%fair 1.40 · @1.13
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @6.60
Ilves8%fair 13.22 · @17.50
2.49Expected goals
1.98HNK Rijeka xG
0.51Ilves xG
44%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–016%
3–011%
1–18%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: HNK Rijeka 2.0 – 0.5 Ilves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Rijeka to win✓
72%
1.40
1.13
Double chance
HNK Rijeka or draw✓
92%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.55 ▲
Half-time result
HNK Rijeka ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka✓
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.10
–
Form
HNK Rijeka – last 6
WWWWWW
2 Aug
vs Rudes
2–1
W
30 Jul
@ Derry City
1–0
W
23 Jul
vs Derry City
1–0
W
3 Jul
@ Radomlje
2–0
W
30 Jun
@ Brinje-Grosuplje
3–0
W
27 Jun
@ Bravo
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ilves – last 6
LWWLWW
2 Aug
@ AC Oulu
0–1
L
30 Jul
vs Stjarnan
1–0
W
26 Jul
vs Lahti
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Stjarnan
0–1
L
20 Jul
@ Turku PS
3–1
W
16 Jul
vs FC Differdange 03
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HNK Rijeka and Ilves.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win HNK Rijeka vs Ilves?
On our numbers HNK Rijeka have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ilves 8%.
How many goals will there be in HNK Rijeka vs Ilves?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HNK Rijeka vs Ilves?
Our predicted score is HNK Rijeka 1–0 Ilves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is HNK Rijeka vs Ilves?
HNK Rijeka vs Ilves (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka Dean Šćulac.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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