The UEFA Europa Conference League sees HJK Helsinki take on Motherwell on Thursday 6 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Bolt Arena.
Form guide
HJK Helsinki's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to SJK 0–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Motherwell's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Hibernian 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
HJK Helsinki arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for HJK Helsinki and 1.4 for Motherwell. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: HJK Helsinki 42%, draw 23%, Motherwell 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: HJK Helsinki 1–1 Motherwell. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HJK Helsinki42%fair 2.41 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.45
Motherwell36%fair 2.79 · @2.64
3.02Expected goals
1.58HJK Helsinki xG
1.45Motherwell xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: HJK Helsinki 1.6 – 1.4 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HJK Helsinki to win✗
42%
2.41
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HJK Helsinki / FT HJK Helsinki✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.43
–
Form
HJK Helsinki – last 6
LWWWWL
3 Aug
@ SJK
0–3
L
30 Jul
@ Coleraine FC
3–0
W
26 Jul
vs Turku PS
1–0
W
23 Jul
vs Coleraine FC
5–0
W
18 Jul
vs VPS
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Lahti
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Motherwell – last 6
WWWLLL
2 Aug
@ Hibernian
2–1
W
30 Jul
@ HB Torshavn
3–0
W
23 Jul
vs HB Torshavn
2–0
W
17 Jul
vs Genk
3–4
L
5 Jul
@ Aarhus
0–4
L
13 May
vs Celtic
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HJK Helsinki and Motherwell.
What is the prediction for HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?
On our numbers HJK Helsinki have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Motherwell 36%.
How many goals will there be in HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?
Our predicted score is HJK Helsinki 1–1 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?
HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Bolt Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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