Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Lugano to win ✓78% · @1.11
Double chanceFC Lugano or draw ✓94% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓13% · fair 7.98
FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik preview and prediction
The match
FC Lugano host NSI Runavik in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 6 August, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at AIL Arena.
Form guide
FC Lugano's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Grasshoppers 4–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
NSI Runavik's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to HB Torshavn 1–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FC Lugano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.6 for FC Lugano and 0.7 for NSI Runavik. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Lugano 78%, draw 16%, NSI Runavik 6%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: FC Lugano 3–0 NSI Runavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Lugano78%fair 1.28 · @1.11
Draw16%fair 6.27 · @7.30
NSI Runavik6%fair 16.43 · @20.00
3.33Expected goals
2.65FC Lugano xG
0.68NSI Runavik xG
50%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
3–011%
1–09%
2–19%
3–18%
4–07%
From our goals model: FC Lugano 2.6 – 0.7 NSI Runavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Lugano to win✓
78%
1.28
1.11
Double chance
FC Lugano or draw✓
94%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Half-time result
FC Lugano ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Lugano / FT FC Lugano✓
55%
1.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
13%
7.98
–
Form
FC Lugano – last 6
WWWWLW
2 Aug
@ Grasshoppers
4–1
W
29 Jul
@ Dukagjini
5–1
W
26 Jul
vs FC Vaduz
2–1
W
23 Jul
vs Dukagjini
1–0
W
17 Jul
vs FC Vaduz
1–2
L
10 Jul
@ 1. FC Heidenheim
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
NSI Runavik – last 6
LWLWDD
3 Aug
@ HB Torshavn
1–3
L
30 Jul
@ Koper
2–0
W
23 Jul
vs Koper
0–2
L
16 Jul
@ Hamrun Spartans
2–1
W
9 Jul
vs Hamrun Spartans
1–1
D
3 Jul
vs KI Klaksvik
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Lugano and NSI Runavik.
What is the prediction for FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?
On our numbers FC Lugano have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 16% and NSI Runavik 6%.
How many goals will there be in FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?
Our predicted score is FC Lugano 3–0 NSI Runavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?
FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at AIL Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Inter Turku2
FC Vaduz1
HJK Helsinki1
Motherwell1
Rīgas FS0
FC Noah2
FC Sion2
Paide1
Rapid Vienna4
CFR 1907 Cluj0
Tromso5
Debreceni VSC0
Dynamo Kyiv1
Qarabag0