ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
ES Zarzis to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultES Zarzis to win ✓66% · @1.75
Double chanceES Zarzis or draw ✓90% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.10
ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse preview and prediction
The match
ES Zarzis host ES Hammam-Sousse in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium. ES Zarzis are 13th with 6 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while ES Hammam-Sousse sit 16th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
ES Zarzis's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Club Africain 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
ES Hammam-Sousse's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Stade Tunisien 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
ES Zarzis arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for ES Zarzis and 0.3 for ES Hammam-Sousse. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: ES Zarzis 66%, draw 24%, ES Hammam-Sousse 10%.
Safer route: ES Zarzis or draw (90%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was ES Zarzis to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: ES Zarzis 1–0 ES Hammam-Sousse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ES Zarzis66%fair 1.52 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.80
ES Hammam-Sousse10%fair 9.57 · @5.00
1.75Expected goals
1.41ES Zarzis xG
0.34ES Hammam-Sousse xG
43%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–017%
2–017%
1–18%
3–08%
0–16%
From our goals model: ES Zarzis 1.4 – 0.3 ES Hammam-Sousse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ES Zarzis to win✓
66%
1.52
1.75 ▲
Double chance
ES Zarzis or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ES Zarzis / FT ES Zarzis✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.10
–
Form
ES Zarzis – last 6
LLLWLW
20 Sep
@ Club Africain
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs US Monastirienne
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Diambars
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs Diambars
3–1
W
29 Aug
@ CS Sfaxien
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Olympique Béja
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
ES Hammam-Sousse – last 6
LLLDLD
12 Sep
vs Stade Tunisien
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ ES Metlaoui
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Club Africain
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs US Monastirienne
0–0
D
29 May
vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
2–3
L
11 May
@ CS Hammam-Lif
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ES Zarzis and ES Hammam-Sousse.
What is the prediction for ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
Our pick is ES Zarzis to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
On our numbers ES Zarzis have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and ES Hammam-Sousse 10%.
How many goals will there be in ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
Our predicted score is ES Zarzis 1–0 ES Hammam-Sousse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
