Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.47
ES Tunis vs AS Marsa preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees ES Tunis take on AS Marsa on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi. ES Tunis are 2nd with 16 points from 7 games (in the top four), while AS Marsa sit 11th on 6 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
ES Tunis's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 1–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AS Marsa's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
ES Tunis arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished ES Tunis 1–0 AS Marsa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for ES Tunis and 0.6 for AS Marsa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: ES Tunis 69%, draw 21%, AS Marsa 10%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was ES Tunis to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: ES Tunis 1–0 AS Marsa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ES Tunis69%fair 1.44 · @1.20
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @5.00
AS Marsa10%fair 10.36 · @12.00
2.53Expected goals
1.95ES Tunis xG
0.59AS Marsa xG
42%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: ES Tunis 1.9 – 0.6 AS Marsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is ES Tunis to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win ES Tunis vs AS Marsa?
On our numbers ES Tunis have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AS Marsa 10%.
How many goals will there be in ES Tunis vs AS Marsa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Tunis vs AS Marsa?
Our predicted score is ES Tunis 1–0 AS Marsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is ES Tunis vs AS Marsa?
ES Tunis vs AS Marsa (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
