US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Not both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Stade Tunisien to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStade Tunisien to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.08
US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien preview and prediction
The match
US Monastirienne host Stade Tunisien in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet.
Form guide
US Monastirienne's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with ES Hammam-Sousse 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Stade Tunisien's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with CS Sfaxien 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.5 for US Monastirienne and 0.5 for Stade Tunisien. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: US Monastirienne 33%, draw 29%, Stade Tunisien 38%.
Both teams to score: no (61%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Stade Tunisien to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: US Monastirienne 0–0 Stade Tunisien. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
US Monastirienne33%fair 3.01 · @2.60
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.45
Stade Tunisien38%fair 2.64 · @3.10
1.00Expected goals
0.47US Monastirienne xG
0.53Stade Tunisien xG
39%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
0–120%
1–017%
1–19%
0–25%
2–04%
From our goals model: US Monastirienne 0.5 – 0.5 Stade Tunisien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Tunisien to win✗
38%
2.64
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
68%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
5.08
–
Form
US Monastirienne – last 6
DWLWWD
22 Aug
@ ES Hammam-Sousse
0–0
D
14 May
vs AS Soliman
3–0
W
4 May
vs ES Metlaoui
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs AS Gabes
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Club Africain
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ CA Bizertin
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Stade Tunisien – last 6
DWDLDW
22 Aug
vs CS Sfaxien
1–1
D
13 May
@ AS Gabes
1–0
W
8 May
vs US Ben Guerdane
0–0
D
29 Apr
vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs ES Sahel
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ AS Marsa
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between US Monastirienne and Stade Tunisien.
What is the prediction for US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien?
On our numbers US Monastirienne have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Stade Tunisien 38%.
How many goals will there be in US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien?
Our predicted score is US Monastirienne 0–0 Stade Tunisien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien?
US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
