AS Marsa vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
AS Marsa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 2.60 – our chance 61% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +58%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓61% · @2.60
Double chanceAS Marsa or draw ✓81% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✓22% · fair 4.48
AS Marsa vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer preview and prediction
The match
AS Marsa host Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT). AS Marsa are 11th with 6 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer sit 6th on 12 points (in the top half).
Form guide
AS Marsa's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to CA Bizertin 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 4.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.8 for AS Marsa and 0.7 for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: AS Marsa 21%, draw 61%, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 19%.
Safer route: AS Marsa or draw (81%) at 1.40.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Draw at 2.60 – 61% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AS Marsa or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AS Marsa 0–0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AS Marsa21%fair 4.86 · @2.62
Draw61%fair 1.64 · @2.60
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer19%fair 5.40 · @2.80
1.50Expected goals
0.77AS Marsa xG
0.73Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer xG
48%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
1–017%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: AS Marsa 0.8 – 0.7 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
61%
1.64
2.60 ▲
Double chance
AS Marsa or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✓
22%
4.48
–
Form
AS Marsa – last 6
LDWWLW
23 Aug
@ CA Bizertin
0–1
L
12 May
@ Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2–2
D
4 May
@ CA Bizertin
2–1
W
30 Apr
vs ES Zarzis
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ ES Metlaoui
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Olympique Béja
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer – last 6
WWWWWW
22 Aug
vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
2–0
W
29 May
@ ES Hammam-Sousse
3–2
W
12 May
vs Redeyef
5–0
W
28 Apr
vs Djelma
4–1
W
22 Apr
vs Korba
4–0
W
22 Mar
vs Sahline
6–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Marsa and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer.
What is the prediction for AS Marsa vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
Our pick is AS Marsa or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win AS Marsa vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
On our numbers AS Marsa have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 61% and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 19%.
How many goals will there be in AS Marsa vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Marsa vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
Our predicted score is AS Marsa 0–0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is AS Marsa vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
AS Marsa vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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