Value bet: Carrarese to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarrarese to win ✓42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.49
Virtus Entella vs Carrarese preview and prediction
The match
Carrarese travel to face Virtus Entella in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 8 August (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
Virtus Entella's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Novara 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Carrarese's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Napoli 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Virtus Entella 2–1 Carrarese.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Virtus Entella and 1.3 for Carrarese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 45%.
Value angle: Carrarese to win at 2.60 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Virtus Entella 1–1 Carrarese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Virtus Entella35%fair 2.85 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Carrarese42%fair 2.39 · @2.60
2.36Expected goals
1.11Virtus Entella xG
1.25Carrarese xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Virtus Entella 1.1 – 1.3 Carrarese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
On our numbers Virtus Entella have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Carrarese 42%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
Our predicted score is Virtus Entella 1–1 Carrarese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
Virtus Entella vs Carrarese (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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