Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu prediction & analysis
76%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Consadole Sapporo to win @ 3.06 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultConsadole Sapporo to win37% · @3.06
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.81
Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu preview and prediction
The match
Sagan Tosu travel to Sapporo Dome in the J2 League on Sunday 15 November (05:00 WAT) to face Consadole Sapporo. Consadole Sapporo are 7th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Sagan Tosu sit 13th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Consadole Sapporo's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Vanraure Hachinohe 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.0 conceded. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sagan Tosu's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Kataller Toyama 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Consadole Sapporo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Consadole Sapporo and 1.1 for Sagan Tosu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Consadole Sapporo 37%, draw 27%, Sagan Tosu 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Consadole Sapporo to win at 3.06 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Prediction
The Footrivo pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Consadole Sapporo37%fair 2.67 · @3.06
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.34
Sagan Tosu36%fair 2.79 · @2.03
2.36Expected goals
1.30Consadole Sapporo xG
1.06Sagan Tosu xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Consadole Sapporo 1.3 – 1.1 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Consadole Sapporo
Sagan Tosu
Attack vs J2 League average
+13%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.29
0.88
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Consadole Sapporo to win
37%
2.67
3.06 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.77
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Consadole Sapporo / FT Consadole Sapporo
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.81
–
Form
Consadole Sapporo – last 6
WWWWWW
8 Nov
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
3 Nov
@ Imabari
4–0
W
31 Oct
vs Shonan Bellmare
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Kataller Toyama
1–0
W
21 Oct
@ Montedio Yamagata
2–0
W
17 Oct
vs Blaublitz Akita
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sagan Tosu – last 6
LWLLWL
7 Nov
vs Kataller Toyama
1–2
L
3 Nov
@ Shonan Bellmare
1–0
W
31 Oct
@ Jubilo Iwata
0–2
L
28 Oct
vs Kawasaki Frontale
0–2
L
25 Oct
vs Vanraure Hachinohe
2–0
W
21 Oct
@ Albirex Niigata
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Consadole Sapporo and Sagan Tosu.
What is the prediction for Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
On our numbers Consadole Sapporo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sagan Tosu 36%.
How many goals will there be in Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
Our predicted score is Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu?
Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Sapporo Dome.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
