J2 League · Japan · Toyama StadiumKataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis prediction & analysis
Kataller Toyama to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.76
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Kataller Toyama 1.9 – 0.7 Tokushima Vortis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Kataller Toyama are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 12% for Tokushima Vortis.
Kataller Toyama have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.8 per game. Tokushima Vortis have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. Kataller Toyama come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.9 for Kataller Toyama, 0.7 for Tokushima Vortis). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Kataller Toyama have won 1, Tokushima Vortis have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Kataller Toyama to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.76 is better than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Kataller Toyama to win | 63% | 1.58 | 1.76 ▲ |
| Double chance | Kataller Toyama or draw | 88% | 1.14 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | 1.63 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.19 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | 1.69 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.37 |
| Half-time result | Kataller Toyama ahead at half-time | 46% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Kataller Toyama / FT Kataller Toyama | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 14% | 7.02 | – |
Form
Kataller Toyama – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Sagan Tosu | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Nov | vs Vegalta Sendai | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | @ Albirex Niigata | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Consadole Sapporo | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | @ Omiya Ardija | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Shonan Bellmare | 1–1 | D |
Tokushima Vortis – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Nov | @ Montedio Yamagata | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Oct | vs Yokohama FC | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Fujieda MYFC | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Vanraure Hachinohe | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Vegalta Sendai | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 22 Feb 2026 | Tokushima Vortis v Kataller Toyama | 1–3 |
J2 League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albirex Niigata | 16 | -1 | 32 |
| 2 |  Yokohama FC | 16 | +15 | 31 |
| 3 |  Kataller Toyama | 16 | +14 | 31 |
| 4 |  Vegalta Sendai | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Omiya Ardija | 16 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 7 |  Consadole Sapporo | 16 | +3 | 26 |
| 8 |  Iwaki | 16 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Jubilo Iwata | 16 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |  Shonan Bellmare | 16 | +1 | 23 |
| 11 |  Oita Trinita | 16 | +5 | 22 |
| 12 |  Blaublitz Akita | 16 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Sagan Tosu | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 |  Montedio Yamagata | 16 | -2 | 19 |
| 15 |  Tokushima Vortis | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 |  Fujieda MYFC | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Tochigi City | 16 | -10 | 12 |
| 19 |  Imabari | 16 | -16 | 12 |
| 20 |  Ventforet Kofu | 16 | -22 | 12 |
More J2 League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?
Our pick is Kataller Toyama to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.76.
Who will win Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?
On our numbers Kataller Toyama have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tokushima Vortis 12%.
How many goals will there be in Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?
Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyama Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.