J2 League · Japan · Ekimae Real Estate Stadium

Sagan Tosu

WLLWL
1–2
FT

Kataller Toyama

WWLWD

Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSagan Tosu to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Win chances

Sagan Tosu42%fair 2.36 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Kataller Toyama35%fair 2.86 · @3.00
2.68Expected goals
1.42Sagan Tosu xG
1.26Kataller Toyama xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Sagan Tosu 1.4 – 1.3 Kataller Toyama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Sagan Tosu hold the edge on home soil with a 42% chance of winning, against 35% for Kataller Toyama.

Sagan Tosu have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Kataller Toyama have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.

We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Sagan Tosu, 1.3 for Kataller Toyama). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 63%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Sagan Tosu have won 1, Kataller Toyama have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.31.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSagan Tosu to win ✗42%2.362.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.311.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.44
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu ✗24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10%10.30–

Form

Sagan Tosu – last 6

WLLWLW
3 Nov@ Shonan Bellmare1–0W
31 Oct@ Jubilo Iwata0–2L
28 Octvs Kawasaki Frontale0–2L
25 Octvs Vanraure Hachinohe2–0W
21 Oct@ Albirex Niigata1–2L
17 Octvs Omiya Ardija2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kataller Toyama – last 6

WWLWDD
3 Novvs Vegalta Sendai1–0W
31 Oct@ Albirex Niigata3–2W
25 Octvs Consadole Sapporo0–1L
21 Oct@ Omiya Ardija3–0W
17 Octvs Shonan Bellmare1–1D
11 Octvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Aug 2026Sagan Tosu v Kataller Toyama4–0

More J2 League predictions

FT Tokushima Vortis1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki2 272251 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓ FT Albirex Niigata1 Imabari0 512128 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗ FT Yokohama FC4 Fujieda MYFC0 592516 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓ FT Iwaki2 Montedio Yamagata0 452134 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓ FT Blaublitz Akita2 Oita Trinita1 402536 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

On our numbers Sagan Tosu have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kataller Toyama 35%.

How many goals will there be in Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

When is Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.