J2 League · Japan · Pocarisweat Stadium
Tokushima Vortis
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Tokushima Vortis vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tokushima Vortis 0.9 – 1.4 Tegevajaro Miyazaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Tegevajaro Miyazaki shade it despite being away from home – 51% to win, against 27% for Tokushima Vortis.
Tokushima Vortis have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Tegevajaro Miyazaki have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. Tegevajaro Miyazaki come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (0.9 for Tokushima Vortis, 1.4 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win at 2.10 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Tegevajaro Miyazaki / FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki ✗ | 29% | 3.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 7.20 | – |
Form
Tokushima Vortis – last 6
| 3 Nov | @ Montedio Yamagata | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Oct | vs Yokohama FC | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Fujieda MYFC | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Vanraure Hachinohe | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Vegalta Sendai | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Imabari | 1–2 | L |
Tegevajaro Miyazaki – last 6
| 3 Nov | vs Tochigi City | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | vs Oita Trinita | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Montedio Yamagata | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Blaublitz Akita | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Jubilo Iwata | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Kataller Toyama | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tokushima Vortis and Tegevajaro Miyazaki.
More J2 League predictions
Albirex Niigata1
Imabari0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
79%@1.20
✗
FT
Yokohama FC4
Fujieda MYFC0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
77%@1.20
✓
FT
Iwaki2
Montedio Yamagata0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.30
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FT
Sagan Tosu1
Kataller Toyama2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
77%@1.20
✓
FT
Blaublitz Akita2
Oita Trinita1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
80%@1.20
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tokushima Vortis vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tokushima Vortis vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
On our numbers Tokushima Vortis have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tegevajaro Miyazaki 51%.
How many goals will there be in Tokushima Vortis vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Tokushima Vortis vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
Tokushima Vortis vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Pocarisweat Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.