J2 League · Japan · Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata

WLWWL
1–0
FT

Imabari

LDLLD

Albirex Niigata vs Imabari prediction & analysis

79%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAlbirex Niigata to win ✓51% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42

Win chances

Albirex Niigata51%fair 1.94 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Imabari28%fair 3.59 · @3.40
3.00Expected goals
1.77Albirex Niigata xG
1.23Imabari xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Albirex Niigata 1.8 – 1.2 Imabari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Albirex Niigata hold the edge on home soil with a 51% chance of winning, against 28% for Imabari.

Albirex Niigata have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 per game. Imabari have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded. Albirex Niigata come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.0 goals (1.8 for Albirex Niigata, 1.2 for Imabari). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).

In their last 2 meetings, Albirex Niigata have won 2, Imabari have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.26.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlbirex Niigata to win ✓51%1.942.05 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.771.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.551.44
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Albirex Niigata / FT Albirex Niigata ✗31%3.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.42–

Form

Albirex Niigata – last 6

WLWWLD
3 Nov@ Ventforet Kofu1–0W
31 Octvs Kataller Toyama2–3L
25 Octvs Vegalta Sendai2–1W
21 Octvs Sagan Tosu2–1W
17 Oct@ Oita Trinita1–5L
11 Oct@ Shonan Bellmare1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Imabari – last 6

LDLLDW
3 Novvs Consadole Sapporo0–4L
31 Octvs Ventforet Kofu1–1D
25 Oct@ Blaublitz Akita0–1L
21 Oct@ Vegalta Sendai1–3L
17 Octvs Vanraure Hachinohe3–3D
10 Oct@ Tokushima Vortis2–1W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Apr 2026Albirex Niigata v Imabari1–0
1 Mar 2026Imabari v Albirex Niigata0–2

More J2 League predictions

FT Tokushima Vortis1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki2 272251 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓ FT Yokohama FC4 Fujieda MYFC0 592516 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓ FT Iwaki2 Montedio Yamagata0 452134 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓ FT Sagan Tosu1 Kataller Toyama2 422335 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓ FT Blaublitz Akita2 Oita Trinita1 402536 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Imabari?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Imabari?

On our numbers Albirex Niigata have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Imabari 28%.

How many goals will there be in Albirex Niigata vs Imabari?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

When is Albirex Niigata vs Imabari?

Albirex Niigata vs Imabari (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.