J2 League · Japan · Iwaki Greenfield

Iwaki

LWDDW
2–0
FT

Montedio Yamagata

WWLLD

Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Montedio Yamagata to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultIwaki to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.19

Win chances

Iwaki45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.50
Montedio Yamagata34%fair 2.92 · @3.30
2.55Expected goals
1.39Iwaki xG
1.16Montedio Yamagata xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Iwaki 1.4 – 1.2 Montedio Yamagata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Iwaki hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 34% for Montedio Yamagata.

Iwaki have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Montedio Yamagata have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. Iwaki come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.4 for Iwaki, 1.2 for Montedio Yamagata). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Montedio Yamagata to win at 3.30 is our value angle (34% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIwaki to win ✓45%2.222.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.771.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Iwaki / FT Iwaki ✓25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%9.19–

Form

Iwaki – last 6

LWDDWW
3 Nov@ Omiya Ardija1–2L
31 Oct@ Tochigi City3–1W
25 Octvs Jubilo Iwata1–1D
21 Oct@ Shonan Bellmare1–1D
18 Octvs Ventforet Kofu5–0W
11 Octvs Blaublitz Akita1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Montedio Yamagata – last 6

WWLLDL
3 Novvs Tokushima Vortis1–0W
31 Oct@ Vanraure Hachinohe2–1W
25 Octvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–2L
21 Octvs Consadole Sapporo0–2L
17 Oct@ Fujieda MYFC0–0D
11 Octvs Vegalta Sendai0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Iwaki and Montedio Yamagata.

More J2 League predictions

FT Tokushima Vortis1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki2 272251 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓ FT Albirex Niigata1 Imabari0 512128 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗ FT Yokohama FC4 Fujieda MYFC0 592516 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓ FT Sagan Tosu1 Kataller Toyama2 422335 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓ FT Blaublitz Akita2 Oita Trinita1 402536 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata?

On our numbers Iwaki have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Montedio Yamagata 34%.

How many goals will there be in Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

When is Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata?

Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Iwaki Greenfield.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.