Value bet: Iwaki to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultShonan Bellmare to win ✗38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Shonan Bellmare take on Iwaki on Wednesday 21 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Lemon Gas Stadium. Shonan Bellmare are 10th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Iwaki sit 8th on 23 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Shonan Bellmare's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Kataller Toyama 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Iwaki's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Ventforet Kofu 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Iwaki.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Shonan Bellmare and 1.3 for Iwaki. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Iwaki to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Iwaki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shonan Bellmare38%fair 2.61 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Iwaki37%fair 2.67 · @2.90
2.59Expected goals
1.30Shonan Bellmare xG
1.29Iwaki xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Shonan Bellmare 1.3 – 1.3 Iwaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki?
On our numbers Shonan Bellmare have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Iwaki 37%.
How many goals will there be in Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki?
Our predicted score is Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Iwaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki?
Shonan Bellmare vs Iwaki (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemon Gas Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
