Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Vegalta Sendai or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: Vegalta Sendai to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVegalta Sendai to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceVegalta Sendai or draw ✓84% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.82
Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Montedio Yamagata take on Vegalta Sendai on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 05:05 (WAT) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata. Montedio Yamagata are 14th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Vegalta Sendai sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Montedio Yamagata's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Oita Trinita 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Vegalta Sendai's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Jubilo Iwata 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Vegalta Sendai arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Vegalta Sendai 1–0 Montedio Yamagata. Across their last 2 meetings Montedio Yamagata have won 0, Vegalta Sendai 2, with 0 draws and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.8 for Montedio Yamagata and 1.7 for Vegalta Sendai. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Safer route: Vegalta Sendai or draw (84%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Vegalta Sendai to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vegalta Sendai or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Montedio Yamagata 0–1 Vegalta Sendai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montedio Yamagata16%fair 6.28 · @3.50
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.25
Vegalta Sendai59%fair 1.70 · @1.91
2.44Expected goals
0.76Montedio Yamagata xG
1.68Vegalta Sendai xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%
From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 0.8 – 1.7 Vegalta Sendai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
Our pick is Vegalta Sendai or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vegalta Sendai 59%.
How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 0–1 Vegalta Sendai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 05:05 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
