J2 League · Japan · Lemon Gas StadiumShonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Shonan Bellmare 1.3 – 1.1 Albirex Niigata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Shonan Bellmare hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 34% for Albirex Niigata.
Shonan Bellmare have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Albirex Niigata have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.3 for Shonan Bellmare, 1.1 for Albirex Niigata). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Shonan Bellmare to win ✗ | 43% | 2.34 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.31 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Shonan Bellmare / FT Shonan Bellmare ✗ | 24% | 4.24 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.75 | – |
Form
Shonan Bellmare – last 6
| 7 Oct | @ FC Tokyo | 0–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Fujieda MYFC | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Imabari | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Blaublitz Akita | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Vanraure Hachinohe | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Sep | @ Matsumoto Yamaga | 3–3 | D |
Albirex Niigata – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Tokushima Vortis | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | @ Matsumoto Yamaga | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Blaublitz Akita | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Jubilo Iwata | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Montedio Yamagata | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Yokohama FC | 0–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shonan Bellmare and Albirex Niigata.
J2 League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albirex Niigata | 16 | -1 | 32 |
| 2 |  Yokohama FC | 16 | +15 | 31 |
| 3 |  Kataller Toyama | 16 | +14 | 31 |
| 4 |  Vegalta Sendai | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Omiya Ardija | 16 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 7 |  Consadole Sapporo | 16 | +3 | 26 |
| 8 |  Iwaki | 16 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Jubilo Iwata | 16 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |  Shonan Bellmare | 16 | +1 | 23 |
| 11 |  Oita Trinita | 16 | +5 | 22 |
| 12 |  Blaublitz Akita | 16 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Sagan Tosu | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 |  Montedio Yamagata | 16 | -2 | 19 |
| 15 |  Tokushima Vortis | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 |  Fujieda MYFC | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Tochigi City | 16 | -10 | 12 |
| 19 |  Imabari | 16 | -16 | 12 |
| 20 |  Ventforet Kofu | 16 | -22 | 12 |
More J2 League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata?
On our numbers Shonan Bellmare have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Albirex Niigata 34%.
How many goals will there be in Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata?
Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemon Gas Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.