Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Shonan Bellmare to win @ 1.94 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShonan Bellmare to win ✓57% · @1.94
Double chanceShonan Bellmare or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.59
Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata preview and prediction
The match
Montedio Yamagata travel to Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka in the J2 League on Saturday 15 August (11:00 WAT) to face Shonan Bellmare. Shonan Bellmare are 10th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Montedio Yamagata sit 14th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Shonan Bellmare's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Oita Trinita 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Montedio Yamagata's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Tochigi City 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Montedio Yamagata arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Montedio Yamagata 3–1 Shonan Bellmare. Across their last 2 meetings Shonan Bellmare have won 1, Montedio Yamagata 1, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.3 for Shonan Bellmare and 0.6 for Montedio Yamagata. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Safer route: Shonan Bellmare or draw (79%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Shonan Bellmare to win at 1.94 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Montedio Yamagata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shonan Bellmare57%fair 1.75 · @1.94
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Montedio Yamagata21%fair 4.86 · @3.70
1.98Expected goals
1.35Shonan Bellmare xG
0.64Montedio Yamagata xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Shonan Bellmare 1.3 – 0.6 Montedio Yamagata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?
On our numbers Shonan Bellmare have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Montedio Yamagata 21%.
How many goals will there be in Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?
Our predicted score is Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Montedio Yamagata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?
Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
