Albirex Niigata vs Consadole Sapporo prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Albirex Niigata to win @ 2.38 – our chance 49% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlbirex Niigata to win ✓49% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.91
Albirex Niigata vs Consadole Sapporo preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Albirex Niigata take on Consadole Sapporo on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Albirex Niigata are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Consadole Sapporo sit 7th on 26 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Albirex Niigata's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Omiya Ardija 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Consadole Sapporo's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Tokushima Vortis 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.2 for Albirex Niigata and 0.8 for Consadole Sapporo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Albirex Niigata 49%, draw 22%, Consadole Sapporo 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Albirex Niigata to win at 2.38 – 49% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Albirex Niigata 1–0 Consadole Sapporo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albirex Niigata49%fair 2.02 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Consadole Sapporo28%fair 3.55 · @2.90
1.98Expected goals
1.20Albirex Niigata xG
0.79Consadole Sapporo xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Albirex Niigata 1.2 – 0.8 Consadole Sapporo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albirex Niigata to win✓
49%
2.02
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albirex Niigata / FT Albirex Niigata✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.91
–
Form
Albirex Niigata – last 6
LLDWWW
8 Aug
@ Omiya Ardija
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs Montedio Yamagata
3–4
L
30 May
vs Kagoshima United
0–0
D
23 May
vs Ehime FC
2–1
W
16 May
vs Nara Club
2–1
W
6 May
vs Tokushima Vortis
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Consadole Sapporo – last 6
WWDLWW
8 Aug
vs Tokushima Vortis
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Nagoya Grampus
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Vissel Kobe
1–1
D
23 May
vs Jubilo Iwata
0–1
L
16 May
@ Fukushima United
3–0
W
9 May
vs Omiya Ardija
4–3
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albirex Niigata and Consadole Sapporo.
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Consadole Sapporo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Consadole Sapporo?
On our numbers Albirex Niigata have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Consadole Sapporo 28%.
How many goals will there be in Albirex Niigata vs Consadole Sapporo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albirex Niigata vs Consadole Sapporo?
Our predicted score is Albirex Niigata 1–0 Consadole Sapporo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Albirex Niigata vs Consadole Sapporo?
Albirex Niigata vs Consadole Sapporo (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
