Santos host Macara in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Thursday 13 August, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira. Santos are 2nd with 7 points from 6 games, while Macara sit 1st on 10 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Santos's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Atletico Paranaense 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Macara's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Barcelona SC 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Santos and 0.6 for Macara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santos 70%, draw 20%, Macara 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Santos 2–0 Macara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santos70%fair 1.42 · @1.38
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @4.40
Macara10%fair 10.34 · @8.70
2.61Expected goals
2.01Santos xG
0.60Macara xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Santos 2.0 – 0.6 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos to win✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Double chance
Santos or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.44
Half-time result
Santos ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos / FT Santos✗
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
15%
6.73
–
Form
Santos – last 6
LWDWDW
9 Aug
vs Atletico Paranaense
0–2
L
5 Aug
@ Remo
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Remo
0–0
D
29 Jul
vs UCV
4–2
W
25 Jul
vs Chapecoense-sc
2–2
D
22 Jul
@ UCV
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Macara – last 6
WWDWWL
9 Aug
@ Barcelona SC
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs Guayaquil City FC
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Gualaceo SC
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Aucas
4–1
W
22 Jul
vs Deportivo Cuenca
3–0
W
18 Jul
@ Delfin SC
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos and Macara.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Santos vs Macara?
On our numbers Santos have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Macara 10%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Macara?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Santos 2–0 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Macara?
Santos vs Macara (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vasco DA Gama0
Olimpia0