Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 57% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +81%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓57% · @3.20
Double chanceReal or draw ✓82% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.67
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗18% · fair 5.55
Real vs Lajense preview and prediction
The match
Real host Lajense in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Real's last 4: WWDW Most recently they beat FBC Riograndense RS 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lajense's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Vitoria Setubal 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Real arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Real and 0.8 for Lajense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real 26%, draw 57%, Lajense 18%.
Safer route: Real or draw (82%) at 1.30.
Value angle: Draw at 3.20 – 57% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real 0–0 Lajense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real26%fair 3.90 · @2.10
Draw57%fair 1.77 · @3.20
Lajense18%fair 5.64 · @3.00
1.71Expected goals
0.93Real xG
0.79Lajense xG
39%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Real 0.9 – 0.8 Lajense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
57%
1.77
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Real or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
18%
5.55
–
Form
Real – last 4
WWDW
12 Sep
vs FBC Riograndense RS
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Amora
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Futebol Com Vida
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ 1º Dezembro
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Lajense – last 6
LLWDLD
6 Sep
vs Vitoria Setubal
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Naval 1893
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Lusitânia
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Mortágua
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs UD da Serra
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Fátima
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real and Lajense.
Our pick is Real or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Real vs Lajense?
On our numbers Real have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 57% and Lajense 18%.
How many goals will there be in Real vs Lajense?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real vs Lajense?
Our predicted score is Real 0–0 Lajense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Real vs Lajense?
Real vs Lajense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lagoa0
FC Serpa0
1º Dezembro1
Amora1