Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B · Portugal

Sanjoanense

WLWWW
1–1
FT

Machico

DWWWD

Sanjoanense vs Machico prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.35Odds
2

Value bet: Machico to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultSanjoanense to win ✗39% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.04

Win chances

Sanjoanense39%fair 2.53 · @2.08
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.04
Machico36%fair 2.76 · @3.20
2.22Expected goals
1.14Sanjoanense xG
1.08Machico xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Sanjoanense 1.1 – 1.1 Machico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Sanjoanense and Machico on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Sanjoanense have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Machico have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.

We expect around 2.2 goals (1.1 for Sanjoanense, 1.1 for Machico). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (12%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.35 is close to our fair price of 1.52. For a bigger price, Machico to win at 3.20 is our value angle (36% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanjoanense to win ✗39%2.532.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.27
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.921.88
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.521.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.58
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.261.17
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanjoanense / FT Sanjoanense ✗21%4.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.04–

Form

Sanjoanense – last 6

WLWWWL
31 Oct@ União Lamas2–1W
25 Oct@ Camacha1–2L
17 Octvs Nacional1–0W
10 Octvs Guarda1–0W
20 Sep@ Ançã4–1W
13 Sep@ Florgrade0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Machico – last 6

DWWWDD
1 Novvs Camacha0–0D
25 Oct@ Guarda1–0W
10 Octvs Florgrade4–0W
13 Sep@ Alpendorada2–1W
4 Sep@ Salgueiros1–1D
30 Augvs Camacha2–2D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sanjoanense and Machico.

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B predictions

FT Beira-Mar1 União Lamas1 632512 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.24 ✓ – Camacha Cinfães 622414 1Camacha to win 62%@1.67 FT Florgrade1 Ovarense3 282349 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗ FT Guarda0 Castro Daire2 352441 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.57 ✓ FT Salgueiros1 Estrela Calheta0 652212 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sanjoanense vs Machico?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Sanjoanense vs Machico?

On our numbers Sanjoanense have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Machico 36%.

How many goals will there be in Sanjoanense vs Machico?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

When is Sanjoanense vs Machico?

Sanjoanense vs Machico (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.