Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B · Portugal

Salgueiros

DLDDW
1–0
FT

Estrela Calheta

DLWLD

Salgueiros vs Estrela Calheta prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSalgueiros to win ✓65% · @1.49
Double chanceSalgueiros or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.99

Win chances

Salgueiros65%fair 1.53 · @1.49
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.58
Estrela Calheta12%fair 8.31 · @5.80
2.35Expected goals
1.76Salgueiros xG
0.60Estrela Calheta xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–09%

From our goals model: Salgueiros 1.8 – 0.6 Estrela Calheta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Salgueiros are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 12% for Estrela Calheta.

Salgueiros have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 0.7 per game. Estrela Calheta have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded. Salgueiros come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.8 for Salgueiros, 0.6 for Estrela Calheta). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (15%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.32.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSalgueiros to win ✓65%1.531.49
Double chanceSalgueiros or draw ✓88%1.141.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.941.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.441.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.801.74
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Half-time resultSalgueiros ahead at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Salgueiros / FT Salgueiros ✓41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17%5.99–

Form

Salgueiros – last 6

DLDDWW
1 Nov@ Sousense1–1D
25 Octvs Ovarense0–2L
18 Octvs Estoril1–1D
11 Oct@ Castro Daire0–0D
19 Sepvs Feirense1–0W
13 Sepvs Cinfães1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Estrela Calheta – last 6

DLWLDL
1 Novvs Beira-Mar1–1D
25 Octvs União Lamas1–2L
11 Oct@ Sousense3–1W
4 Oct@ Castro Daire0–3L
27 Sepvs Cinfães2–2D
20 Sepvs Vianense1–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Salgueiros and Estrela Calheta.

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B predictions

FT Sanjoanense1 Machico1 392436 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.35 ✓ FT Beira-Mar1 União Lamas1 632512 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.24 ✓ – Camacha Cinfães 622414 1Camacha to win 62%@1.67 FT Florgrade1 Ovarense3 282349 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗ FT Guarda0 Castro Daire2 352441 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.57 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Salgueiros vs Estrela Calheta?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Salgueiros vs Estrela Calheta?

On our numbers Salgueiros have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Estrela Calheta 12%.

How many goals will there be in Salgueiros vs Estrela Calheta?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

When is Salgueiros vs Estrela Calheta?

Salgueiros vs Estrela Calheta (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.