Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B · Portugal

Florgrade

DWLLW
1–3
FT

Ovarense

WWDLW

Florgrade vs Ovarense prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultOvarense to win ✓49% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.51

Win chances

Florgrade28%fair 3.63 · @3.32
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.94
Ovarense49%fair 2.03 · @2.08
2.35Expected goals
0.95Florgrade xG
1.40Ovarense xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
0–29%
1–09%
1–29%

From our goals model: Florgrade 1.0 – 1.4 Ovarense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Ovarense shade it despite being away from home – 49% to win, against 28% for Florgrade.

Florgrade have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Ovarense have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 for Florgrade, 1.4 for Ovarense). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.31.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOvarense to win ✓49%2.032.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.771.78
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.771.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.311.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ovarense / FT Ovarense ✗28%3.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.51–

Form

Florgrade – last 6

DWLLWW
1 Nov@ Castro Daire1–1D
25 Octvs Cinfães2–0W
17 Octvs Portimonense1–2L
10 Oct@ Machico0–4L
27 Sep@ Camacha1–0W
13 Sepvs Sanjoanense2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ovarense – last 6

WWDLWW
1 Novvs Alpendorada2–1W
25 Oct@ Salgueiros2–0W
11 Octvs Beira-Mar2–2D
20 Sepvs Os Marialvas0–1L
13 Sep@ Estrela Calheta3–0W
6 Sepvs Sousense2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Florgrade and Ovarense.

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B predictions

FT Sanjoanense1 Machico1 392436 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.35 ✓ FT Beira-Mar1 União Lamas1 632512 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.24 ✓ – Camacha Cinfães 622414 1Camacha to win 62%@1.67 FT Guarda0 Castro Daire2 352441 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.57 ✓ FT Salgueiros1 Estrela Calheta0 652212 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Florgrade vs Ovarense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Florgrade vs Ovarense?

On our numbers Florgrade have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ovarense 49%.

How many goals will there be in Florgrade vs Ovarense?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

When is Florgrade vs Ovarense?

Florgrade vs Ovarense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.