Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Florgrade to win @ 2.75 – our chance 46% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlorgrade to win ✗46% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.74
União Lamas vs Florgrade preview and prediction
The match
União Lamas host Florgrade in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). União Lamas are 8th with 9 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Florgrade sit 7th on 11 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
União Lamas's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Feirense 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Florgrade's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Salgueiros 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished União Lamas 0–1 Florgrade.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for União Lamas and 1.3 for Florgrade. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Florgrade to win at 2.75 – 46% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: União Lamas 1–1 Florgrade. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União Lamas33%fair 3.02 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
Florgrade46%fair 2.18 · @2.75
2.29Expected goals
1.01União Lamas xG
1.27Florgrade xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: União Lamas 1.0 – 1.3 Florgrade expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for União Lamas vs Florgrade?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win União Lamas vs Florgrade?
On our numbers União Lamas have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Florgrade 46%.
How many goals will there be in União Lamas vs Florgrade?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União Lamas vs Florgrade?
Our predicted score is União Lamas 1–1 Florgrade, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is União Lamas vs Florgrade?
União Lamas vs Florgrade (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
