Value bet: Beira-Mar to win @ 3.25 – our chance 44% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +43%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBeira-Mar to win ✗44% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.67
Sanjoanense vs Beira-Mar preview and prediction
The match
The Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B sees Sanjoanense take on Beira-Mar on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Sanjoanense are 5th with 12 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Beira-Mar sit 9th on 7 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sanjoanense's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Felgueiras 1932 0–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Beira-Mar's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Tondela 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Sanjoanense and 1.3 for Beira-Mar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Beira-Mar to win at 3.25 – 44% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Sanjoanense 1–1 Beira-Mar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sanjoanense35%fair 2.86 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
Beira-Mar44%fair 2.27 · @3.25
2.43Expected goals
1.12Sanjoanense xG
1.31Beira-Mar xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Sanjoanense 1.1 – 1.3 Beira-Mar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beira-Mar to win✗
44%
2.27
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beira-Mar / FT Beira-Mar✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.67
–
Form
Sanjoanense – last 6
LWDDLL
15 Jul
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ SC Braga B
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs SC Braga B
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs AD Marco 09
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Fafe
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Paredes
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Beira-Mar – last 6
WDLDLL
25 Jul
@ Tondela
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Cinfães
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Florgrade
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Leça
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Vila Real
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Rebordosa
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sanjoanense and Beira-Mar.
What is the prediction for Sanjoanense vs Beira-Mar?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Sanjoanense vs Beira-Mar?
On our numbers Sanjoanense have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Beira-Mar 44%.
How many goals will there be in Sanjoanense vs Beira-Mar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanjoanense vs Beira-Mar?
Our predicted score is Sanjoanense 1–1 Beira-Mar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sanjoanense vs Beira-Mar?
Sanjoanense vs Beira-Mar (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
