Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A · Portugal

Vinhais

LLLLL
2–4
FT

Celoricense

DLDLL

Vinhais vs Celoricense prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCeloricense to win ✓65% · @1.43
Double chanceCeloricense or draw ✓85% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.18

Win chances

Vinhais15%fair 6.58 · @6.40
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.74
Celoricense65%fair 1.53 · @1.43
2.59Expected goals
0.73Vinhais xG
1.86Celoricense xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%

From our goals model: Vinhais 0.7 – 1.9 Celoricense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Celoricense travel as clear favourites – 65% to win, against 15% for Vinhais.

Vinhais have taken 0 points from their last 6 matches (0W 0D 6L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 3.7 per game. Celoricense have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. Celoricense come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.6 goals (0.7 for Vinhais, 1.9 for Celoricense). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.36.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCeloricense to win ✓65%1.531.43
Double chanceCeloricense or draw ✓85%1.181.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.901.95
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.84
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.29
Half-time resultCeloricense ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celoricense / FT Celoricense ✗41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.18–

Form

Vinhais – last 6

LLLLLL
1 Nov@ Ponte da Barca1–2L
25 Oct@ Rebordosa0–8L
11 Octvs Os Limianos1–2L
20 Sep@ Fátima1–4L
13 Sep@ Vila Meã0–4L
6 Sepvs Chaves II1–2L
0.7Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Celoricense – last 6

DLDLLW
1 Novvs Rebordosa0–0D
25 Oct@ Os Limianos2–3L
11 Octvs Vila Meã0–0D
20 Sep@ Bragança1–6L
13 Sep@ Chaves II0–1L
6 Sepvs Tirsense2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vinhais and Celoricense.

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A predictions

FT Os Limianos1 SC Braga B1 352441 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.24 ✓ FT Chaves II0 Bragança1 382437 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓ FT Maria da Fonte3 Ponte da Barca1 631423 1Maria da Fonte to win 63%@1.92 ✓ FT Rebordosa1 Brito1 662311 1Rebordosa to win 66%@1.66 ✗ FT Tirsense2 Montalegre1 612316 1Tirsense to win 61%@1.77 ✓ FT Vila Meã0 Maia Lidador1 652313 1Vila Meã to win 65%@1.86 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vinhais vs Celoricense?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Vinhais vs Celoricense?

On our numbers Vinhais have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Celoricense 65%.

How many goals will there be in Vinhais vs Celoricense?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

When is Vinhais vs Celoricense?

Vinhais vs Celoricense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.