Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A · Portugal

Chaves II

LLWWW
0–1
FT

Bragança

LWLLW

Chaves II vs Bragança prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultChaves II to win ✗38% · @2.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.87

Win chances

Chaves II38%fair 2.61 · @2.56
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.04
Bragança37%fair 2.67 · @2.48
2.35Expected goals
1.18Chaves II xG
1.17Bragança xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Chaves II 1.2 – 1.2 Bragança expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Chaves II and Bragança on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Chaves II have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.5 per game. Bragança have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Chaves II, 1.2 for Bragança). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.32.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChaves II to win ✗38%2.612.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.27
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.72
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.441.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.801.74
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chaves II / FT Chaves II ✗21%4.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.87–

Form

Chaves II – last 6

LLWWWW
1 Nov@ Maia Lidador0–1L
25 Octvs SC Braga B0–1L
11 Oct@ Brito4–0W
13 Sepvs Celoricense1–0W
6 Sep@ Vinhais2–1W
23 Augvs Rebordosa1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Bragança – last 6

LWLLWW
1 Novvs Tirsense0–1L
25 Oct@ Maria da Fonte2–1W
17 Oct@ União de Leiria1–2L
11 Octvs Montalegre0–2L
20 Sepvs Celoricense6–1W
13 Sepvs Ponte da Barca3–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chaves II and Bragança.

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A predictions

FT Os Limianos1 SC Braga B1 352441 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.24 ✓ FT Maria da Fonte3 Ponte da Barca1 631423 1Maria da Fonte to win 63%@1.92 ✓ FT Rebordosa1 Brito1 662311 1Rebordosa to win 66%@1.66 ✗ FT Tirsense2 Montalegre1 612316 1Tirsense to win 61%@1.77 ✓ FT Vila Meã0 Maia Lidador1 652313 1Vila Meã to win 65%@1.86 ✗ FT Vinhais2 Celoricense4 152065 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.23 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chaves II vs Bragança?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Chaves II vs Bragança?

On our numbers Chaves II have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bragança 37%.

How many goals will there be in Chaves II vs Bragança?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

When is Chaves II vs Bragança?

Chaves II vs Bragança (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.