Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A · Portugal · Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo

Tirsense

WLLDW
2–1
FT

Montalegre

WLWDD

Tirsense vs Montalegre prediction & analysis

61%
Footrivo pick

Tirsense to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.77Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultTirsense to win ✓61% · @1.77
Double chanceTirsense or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.97

Win chances

Tirsense61%fair 1.63 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.28
Montalegre16%fair 6.25 · @3.96
2.50Expected goals
1.74Tirsense xG
0.75Montalegre xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Tirsense 1.7 – 0.8 Montalegre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Tirsense are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 16% for Montalegre.

Tirsense have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.8 per game. Montalegre have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Tirsense, 0.8 for Montalegre). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).

Our pick is Tirsense to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.77 is better than our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTirsense to win ✓61%1.631.77 ▲
Double chanceTirsense or draw ✓84%1.191.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.92 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.63
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.18
Half-time resultTirsense ahead at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tirsense / FT Tirsense ✓38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%6.97–

Form

Tirsense – last 6

WLLDWL
1 Nov@ Bragança1–0W
25 Octvs Maia Lidador3–5L
11 Oct@ SC Braga B2–3L
19 Sep@ Mafra1–1D
13 Sepvs Brito2–0W
6 Sep@ Celoricense1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Montalegre – last 6

WLWDDD
1 Novvs Maria da Fonte2–0W
25 Octvs Ponte da Barca0–1L
11 Oct@ Bragança2–0W
13 Sepvs Maia Lidador1–1D
5 Sep@ SC Braga B2–2D
30 Augvs Ponte da Barca0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tirsense and Montalegre.

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A predictions

FT Os Limianos1 SC Braga B1 352441 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.24 ✓ FT Chaves II0 Bragança1 382437 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓ FT Maria da Fonte3 Ponte da Barca1 631423 1Maria da Fonte to win 63%@1.92 ✓ FT Rebordosa1 Brito1 662311 1Rebordosa to win 66%@1.66 ✗ FT Vila Meã0 Maia Lidador1 652313 1Vila Meã to win 65%@1.86 ✗ FT Vinhais2 Celoricense4 152065 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.23 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tirsense vs Montalegre?

Our pick is Tirsense to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.

Who will win Tirsense vs Montalegre?

On our numbers Tirsense have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Montalegre 16%.

How many goals will there be in Tirsense vs Montalegre?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

When is Tirsense vs Montalegre?

Tirsense vs Montalegre (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.