Santa Lucía vs Vittoriosa Stars prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Santa Lucía to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Lucía to win ✗68% · @1.53
Double chanceSanta Lucía or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.16
Santa Lucía vs Vittoriosa Stars preview and prediction
The match
Vittoriosa Stars travel to face Santa Lucía in the Challenge League on Saturday 12 September (17:00 WAT). Santa Lucía are 13th with 6 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Vittoriosa Stars sit 14th on 6 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Santa Lucía's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Mgarr United 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Vittoriosa Stars's last 4: WDDD Most recently they beat Mtarfa 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Vittoriosa Stars arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Vittoriosa Stars 1–1 Santa Lucía.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Santa Lucía and 0.8 for Vittoriosa Stars. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 48%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Lucía 68%, draw 18%, Vittoriosa Stars 15%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Santa Lucía to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Santa Lucía 2–0 Vittoriosa Stars. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Lucía68%fair 1.48 · @1.53
Draw18%fair 5.61 · @4.00
Vittoriosa Stars15%fair 6.84 · @4.75
2.94Expected goals
2.10Santa Lucía xG
0.83Vittoriosa Stars xG
48%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Santa Lucía 2.1 – 0.8 Vittoriosa Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santa Lucía vs Vittoriosa Stars?
Our pick is Santa Lucía to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Santa Lucía vs Vittoriosa Stars?
On our numbers Santa Lucía have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Vittoriosa Stars 15%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Lucía vs Vittoriosa Stars?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Lucía vs Vittoriosa Stars?
Our predicted score is Santa Lucía 2–0 Vittoriosa Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Santa Lucía vs Vittoriosa Stars?
Santa Lucía vs Vittoriosa Stars (Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
